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Crown Green Handicap

Dave Patterson

Team: Thingwall BDivision: League 3Last updated: 10/28/2026

Rating

721

Current Handicap

12
Honours
Season:

22

Matches Played

14

Wins

8

Losses

64%

Win Rate

8.8

Avg Win Margin

9.4

Avg Loss Margin

9-3

Home Record

5-5

Away Record

32%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
22 / 39 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 7/17/2017

Only 22 of the 39 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: 50 Wins14/50
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 22 matches

+12 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

22 Apr16 May17 Jun1 Jul15 Jul19 Aug12 May17 Jul-13713

Gives 12 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current12
Win Percentage(40%)
64%
score+0.27→contribution+0.11
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
8.8
score+0.13→contribution+0.03
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
9.4
score-0.23→contribution-0.03
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
65%
score+0.30→contribution+0.03
Opponent Strength(10%)
739
score-0.03→contribution-0.00
Weighted Score+0.135
Sample Size Confidence
32%(22/39 matches)
Rating1067 → shrunk 1021→ adjusted 721
Handicap
12

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 500). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 39, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

14W8L22 matches·63.6% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Thingwall B2016–2017League 32214863.6%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
7/17/2017David HollywoodH21-14WIN+7LeagueLeague 3
6/30/2017Dave EdwardsA21-17WIN+4LeagueLeague 3
6/23/2017Margaret ProwseA21-10WIN+11LeagueLeague 3
5/12/2017Paul SmythH1-21LOSS-20LeagueLeague 3
4/28/2017Jessie TipladyH20-21LOSS-1LeagueLeague 3
4/24/2017Brian PorterH21-9WIN+12LeagueLeague 3
8/19/2016Leonard WheddonA12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 3
8/12/2016Ray WilliamsH21-14WIN+7LeagueLeague 3
7/29/2016Gary AbbottH21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 3
7/15/2016Roy WalkerA21-11WIN+10LeagueLeague 3
7/8/2016Keith FraserA8-21LOSS-13LeagueLeague 3
7/4/2016Alan FennaH21-7WIN+14LeagueLeague 3
7/1/2016Anthony WoodH15-21LOSS-6LeagueLeague 3
6/24/2016Gerard ByrneA14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 3
6/20/2016vs New Brighton Quarry Vikings DH21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 3
6/17/2016Martin ConwayH21-8WIN+13LeagueLeague 3
6/10/2016Colin BurgessA4-21LOSS-17LeagueLeague 3
5/20/2016Roy CookeH21-15WIN+6LeagueLeague 3
5/16/2016Mavis CamplinA21-18WIN+3LeagueLeague 3
5/13/2016Jim MorrisA21-5WIN+16LeagueLeague 3
5/6/2016George FrenchH21-19WIN+2LeagueLeague 3
4/22/2016George RobertsA19-21LOSS-2LeagueLeague 3
Cec Hannay Rose Bowl2 games · 1W
20171 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundSylvia WrightAlbany B21-1WINLOST
20161 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 16 Round* Mally AndrewsHeswall RBL6-21LOSSLOST
Cartwright Cup1 games · 0W
20151 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundBrian HarrisLiscard11-21LOSSLOST

Current Streak

3wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

4

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

2

Career worst losing streak

Last 560% win rate
WWWLL
Last 1070% win rate— steady
WWWLLWLWWW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
David Hollywood101100%7/17/2017
Dave Edwards101100%6/30/2017
Margaret Prowse101100%6/23/2017
Paul Smyth0110%5/12/2017
Jessie Tiplady0110%4/28/2017
Brian Porter101100%4/24/2017
Leonard Wheddon0110%8/19/2016
Ray Williams101100%8/12/2016
Gary Abbott101100%7/29/2016
Roy Walker101100%7/15/2016
Biggest Win
Jim Morris (+16)5/13/2016
Heaviest Defeat
Paul Smyth (-20)5/12/2017
Best Season
201663% · 16 matches
Worst Season
201663% · 16 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
64% → 64%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
69819 known · 3 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
0-10% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
12-667% win rate
League 363.6%
14W·8L·22 played

Debut

Apr 22, 2016

Latest

Jul 17, 2017

Seasons Active

2 (1.2 yr span)

Matches / Season

11.0 (22 total)

Seasons

20162017